Richard Florida
by Richard Florida
Sun May 18th 2008 at 5:41pm UTC

Demography Rules

Declining_cities

This map from the New York Times charts the ratio of death to births in U.S. counties.  More here.

4 Responses to “Demography Rules”

  1. Michael Wells Says:

    Be interesting to overlay this a real Big Sort map and your old Where the Brains Are map. It looks like, aside from the Utah Mormons, the old line conservative areas are dieing faster than they’re breeding. The Times doesn’t talk about people moving away, but that’s certainly a factor too.

    What I’m seeing in Portland is more baby carriages, the natural result of all those creative class 20 & 30 somethings moving here. I’d bet this is true in other creative class cities too. Don’t shut those schools down too fast.

  2. hayden fisher Says:

    I don’t know about that Michael, I’m 35 turning 36 in a few weeks, never married, no kids, 4 jobs (seriously, and that doesn’t include the non-profits and boards). I have lots of friends like me. We should be having kids but many of us aren’t. That map shows heavy birth rates in the areas where the Mexican immigrants have come across the border (anchor babies). That’s probably a good thing too, the Southwest certainly could stand to grow.

    …here’s a prediction for you. I think there will be a procreation explosion from creative classers like me as we begin to approach the 40-45 year-old time frame. This map may look completely different in 10 years. We front-loading creative classers will begin teeing-off on the back 9.

  3. Felix Says:

    I’d love to see the same map of Europe.

  4. Charles Rostkowski Says:

    Hayden, Just one caution about your game plan. Dealing with an at home teenager when you are 55-65 is a challenge for which it is difficult to prepare. Get ready to age faster than you thought possible. It starts when they’re 11 and goes until they’re 30. At 69, I’ve only started to catch my breath.